EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Reading logo

Brighton U21s
0 - 0
Reading


McConville (52')
FT

Abby (45'), Mbengue (77')
Brighton U21s win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21sDrawReading
17.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)17.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)65.21% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 65.41% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.52% (-0.134 -0.13)27.48% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.91% (-0.166 -0.17)48.09% (0.167 0.17)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)28.88% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (-0.12 -0.12)64.76% (0.121 0.12)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)8.03% (0.040100000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.72% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)28.28% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 17.1%
    Reading 65.21%
    Draw 17.69%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21sDrawReading
2-1 @ 4.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 2.88% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.79% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 17.1%
1-1 @ 7.26% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.32% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 17.69%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.2% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 3.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.25% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 65.21%

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