MX23RW : Tuesday, May 20 07:59:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
FC Twente logo

Ajax
2 - 0
FC Twente

Henderson (28'), Weghorst (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Steijn (40'), Verschueren (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 2-2 Ajax
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-3 AZ
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 FC Twente

While the mood around the Ajax camp is likely to be sombre this week, they still need to secure a result here in the hope that Sparta can come through with a much-needed favour. Though it may ultimately be in vain in terms of the title race, we feel the hosts will manage to end the season on a winning note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 3-1 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Twente
54.43% (2.201 2.2) 20.96% (-0.599 -0.6) 24.61% (-1.603 -1.6)
Both teams to score 65.35% (0.47 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.29% (1.348 1.35)32.7% (-1.35 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.62% (1.542 1.54)54.38% (-1.544 -1.54)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (1.109 1.11)12.22% (-1.111 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.09% (2.285 2.29)37.9% (-2.287 -2.29)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (-0.411 -0.41)25.55% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (-0.564 -0.56)60.41% (0.563 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 54.43%
    FC Twente 24.61%
    Draw 20.96%
AjaxDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.286 0.29)
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 4.84% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 4.5% (0.143 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.287 0.29)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.238 0.24)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.17 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.176 0.18)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.14 0.14)
5-2 @ 1% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 54.43%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.369 -0.37)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.288 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 24.61%

How you voted: Ajax vs FC Twente

Ajax
76.9%
Draw
11.5%
FC Twente
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
FC Twente
2-2
Ajax
Vlap (42', 65')
Besselink (55')
Klaassen (59'), Traore (67')
Hato (72')
Apr 14, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 30
Ajax
2-1
FC Twente
Brobbey (59'), Bergwijn (81' pen.)
Sutalo (5'), Mannsverk (35')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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