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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.92%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.71% and a draw had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (4.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
17.71% (![]() | 17.37% (![]() | 64.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.35% (![]() | 24.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.54% (![]() | 44.45% (![]() |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% (![]() | 26.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% (![]() | 61.58% (![]() |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.66% (![]() | 7.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.5% (![]() | 26.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 4.49% (![]() 3-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 4.34% Total : 17.71% | 1-1 @ 6.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 8.8% (![]() 1-3 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 4.88% Total : 64.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |