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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
51.22% (![]() | 23.57% (![]() | 25.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% (![]() | 44.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% (![]() | 66.83% (![]() |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% (![]() | 17.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.17% (![]() | 47.83% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% (![]() | 31.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% (![]() | 67.81% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 11.06% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 6.4% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |