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NAC Breda
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
PSV

NAC Breda
0 - 3
PSV


Lucassen (5'), Kemper (32')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pepi (21'), Saibari (33'), Bakayoko (65')
Pepi (34'), Bakayoko (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NAC Breda and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-0 Girona
Tuesday, November 5 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 0-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 2-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawPSV Eindhoven
16.31% (-0.247 -0.25)18.55% (-0.145 -0.15)65.14% (0.395 0.39)
Both teams to score 60.05% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.62% (0.22799999999999 0.23)33.38% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.84% (0.261 0.26)55.16% (-0.258 -0.26)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)33.54% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (-0.152 -0.15)70.18% (0.155 0.16)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.35% (0.158 0.16)9.65% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.79% (0.366 0.37)32.21% (-0.363 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 16.31%
    PSV Eindhoven 65.14%
    Draw 18.55%
NAC BredaDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 4.52% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 1.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 16.31%
1-1 @ 8.27% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.55%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.53% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 6.9% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 4.4% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-4 @ 4.03% (0.063 0.06)
2-4 @ 2.41% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.06% (0.038 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.89% (0.042 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.13% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 65.14%

How you voted: NAC Breda vs PSV

NAC Breda
7.4%
Draw
5.6%
PSV Eindhoven
87.0%
54
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
PSV
4-0
NAC Breda
Madueke (8'), Gotze (28', 40'), Gakpo (79')
Mwene (31')

Agougil (6')
Mar 9, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
PSV
2-0
NAC Breda
De Jong (5'), Malen (71')
Angelino (15'), Malen (85')
Sep 29, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
NAC Breda
0-2
PSV

te Vrede (17'), Nijholt (51'), Rosheuvel (52')
De Jong (47'), Malen (92')
de Jong (51'), Rosario (58'), Lozano (75'), Zoet (91')
Mar 31, 2018 6.45pm
PSV
5-1
NAC Breda
Van Ginkel (37' pen.), Umar (59' og.), De Jong (76'), Mets (81' og.), Pereiro (84')
Bergwijn (41'), Hendrix (57')
Umar (65')
Ambrose (10'), Vloet (14'), Umar (41'), Mari (68')
Aug 20, 2017 3.45pm
NAC Breda
1-4
PSV
Ambrose (41' pen.)
Horsfield (42'), El Allouchi (50'), Mari (89')
Bergwijn (17'), Van Ginkel (60'), Lozano (69'), Hendrix (87')
Bergwijn (50')
OSZAR »