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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 0-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 2-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
16.31% (![]() | 18.55% (![]() | 65.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.62% (![]() | 33.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.84% (![]() | 55.16% (![]() |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% (![]() | 33.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% (![]() | 70.18% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.35% (![]() | 9.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.79% (![]() | 32.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.52% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 16.31% | 1-1 @ 8.27% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.55% | 1-2 @ 9.67% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 4.61% Total : 65.14% |