Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
4 - 1
Cambuur

Saito (30'), Pinto (38'), Kitolano (42'), Namli (50')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Tol (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, May 13 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Cambuur

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Cambuur
Sunday, May 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Cambuur
57.83% ( 1.27)	22.29% ( 0.42)	19.88% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 53.79% (

-4.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.13% (

-4.15)

44.87% (

4.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77% (

-4.13)

67.23% (

4.13)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76% (

-1)

15.24% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.09% (

-1.91)

43.91% (

1.91)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46% (

-4.02)

36.54% (

4.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.67% (

-4.28)

73.32% (

4.28)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 57.82%

Cambuur 19.88%

Draw 22.29%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Cambuur
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 1.44) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.47) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.28) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.82%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.94) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.88%