Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
FC Twente logo

Cukaricki
1 - 3
FC Twente

Kovac (59')
Badamosi (48')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Rots (8'), Vlap (31'), Brenet (43')
Smal (65'), Sadilek (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Cukaricki and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cukaricki

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cukaricki 4-0 Racing FC
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

FC Twente

Last Six:
    Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 FC Twente
    Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Cukaricki had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

    The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Cukaricki win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

    Result
    CukarickiDrawFC Twente
    25.8% (0.042999999999999 0.04)23.36% (0.022000000000002 0.02)50.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
    Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    57.01% (-0.073 -0.07)42.98% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    34.61% (-0.07 -0.07)65.38% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
    Cukaricki Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    69.83% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)30.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    33.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)
    FC Twente Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    83% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.88% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)47.11% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
    Score Analysis
        Cukaricki 25.8%
        FC Twente 50.83%
        Draw 23.35%
    CukarickiDrawFC Twente
    2-1 @ 6.52% (0.008 0.01)
    1-0 @ 6.14% (0.018 0.02)
    2-0 @ 3.68% (0.01 0.01)
    3-1 @ 2.61% (0.0029999999999997 0)
    3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    3-0 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
    Other @ 3.07%
    Total : 25.8%
    		1-1 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
    2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    0-0 @ 5.13% (0.016 0.02)
    3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
    Other @ 0.2%
    Total : 23.35%
    		1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
    0-1 @ 9.09% (0.013 0.01)
    0-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
    1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
    0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
    2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
    1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
    2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
    Other @ 4.03%
    Total : 50.83%

    How you voted: FC Twente vs Cukaricki

    FC Twente
    67.9%
    Draw
    7.1%
    Cukaricki
    25.0%
    28
    rhs 2.0
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    > Premier League Full Table


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