Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elfsborg in this match.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Roma
41.73% ( -1.3)	25.34% ( -0.06)	32.93% ( 1.35)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.18% (

0.68)

47.82% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.99% (

0.63)

70.01% (

-0.63)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

-0.33)

22.8% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.49% (

-0.49)

56.51% (

0.49)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33% (

1.21)

27.66% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78% (

1.53)

63.21% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 41.73%

Roma 32.93%

Draw 25.33%

Elfsborg	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.93%