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Europa League

Feyenoord
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord
6 - 0
Sturm Graz

Jahanbakhsh (9', 41'), Hancko (31'), Danilo (34'), Gimenez (66'), Idrissi (78')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Feyenoord and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

Last Six:
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-0 Sparta
Sunday, September 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Sturm Graz

Last Six:
    Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Midtjylland
    Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

    Result
    FeyenoordDrawSturm Graz
    38.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.38% (0.018999999999998 0.02)35.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
    Both teams to score 52.85% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    48.12% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)51.88% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    26.37% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)73.63% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
    Feyenoord Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    73.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)26.26% (0.038 0.04)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    38.63% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)61.37% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
    Sturm Graz Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    71.68% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.32% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    35.95% (-0.058 -0.06)64.05% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
    Score Analysis
        Feyenoord 38.58%
        Sturm Graz 35.04%
        Draw 26.37%
    FeyenoordDrawSturm Graz
    1-0 @ 9.95% (0.02 0.02)
    2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    2-0 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
    3-0 @ 2.96%
    3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
    4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
    4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
    Other @ 2.3%
    Total : 38.58%
    		1-1 @ 12.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    0-0 @ 7.44% (0.023 0.02)
    2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
    Other @ 0.11%
    Total : 26.37%
    		0-1 @ 9.38% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
    1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
    0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
    1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
    Other @ 2.74%
    Total : 35.04%

    How you voted: Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz

    Feyenoord
    86.0%
    Draw
    8.3%
    Sturm Graz
    5.7%
    157
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