Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 0
West Ham

(West Ham United win 5-1 on aggregate)

Gregoritsch (81')
Sildillia (40'), Sallai (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Paqueta (58')

The Match

Match Report

Michael Gregoritsch scores the only goal of the match as Freiburg record a 1-0 victory over West Ham United in the first leg of their last-16 Europa League contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 Bayern
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Everton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	West Ham United
47.5% ( 0.97)	22.13% ( -0.09)	30.37% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 66.15% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.21% (

-0.03)

33.79% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.37% (

-0.03)

55.63% (

0.03)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

0.33)

14.77% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.97% (

0.62)

43.03% (

-0.62)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-0.52)

22.38% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12% (

-0.78)

55.88% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 47.5%

West Ham United 30.37%

Draw 22.13%

Freiburg	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.5%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.37%