Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round

Sep 24, 2020 at 6pm UK

Mestni Štadion Fazanerija

Mura
1 - 5
PSV

Kouter (21')
Filipovic (30'), Kous (70')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Malen (17', 65'), Junior (28'), Gakpo (54', 90')
Thomas (49'), Dumfries (62')

Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between NS Mura and PSV Eindhoven.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mura had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Mura win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
NS Mura	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
18.48%	20.96%	60.55%

Both teams to score 55.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.99%

41.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.6%

63.4%

NS Mura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.23%

35.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.46%

72.54%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88%

13.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.23%

39.77%

Score Analysis

NS Mura 18.48%

PSV Eindhoven 60.55%

Draw 20.96%

NS Mura	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.04% 1-0 @ 4.83% 2-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.48%	1-1 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 5.12% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.96%	1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 9.53% 1-3 @ 6.74% 0-3 @ 6.55% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 3.42% 0-4 @ 3.33% 2-4 @ 1.76% 1-5 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.39% Total : 60.55%