Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Tofik Bakhramov

Qarabag
1 - 0
Molde

Andrade (55')
Jankovic (84'), Medina (87'), Romao (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Breivik (20'), Ellingsen (34'), Andre Kaasa (47'), Eriksen (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Ljubljana
Thursday, August 31 at 5pm in Europa League

Molde

All competitions

Last Game: Molde 4-1 Odd
Saturday, September 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Qarabag FK	Draw	Molde
2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.3%	1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.1%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
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