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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
2 - 1
Omonia

Guevara (30'), Sorloth (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bruno (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Sociedad and Omonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Omonia 0-3 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Omonia had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Omonia win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawOmonia
53.32% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)24.81% (0.015999999999998 0.02)21.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.83% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)74.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)19.78% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)51.83% (0.052 0.05)
Omonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95% (0.012 0.01)39.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.77% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 53.31%
    Omonia 21.86%
    Draw 24.81%
Real SociedadDrawOmonia
1-0 @ 12.51%
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 53.31%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 21.86%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Omonia

Real Sociedad
87.9%
Draw
8.3%
Omonia
3.8%
132
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