Sparta Prague

1 - 4

Lille

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.