Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Hungary national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Puskas Arena
Serbia national football team

Hungary
2 - 1
Serbia

Varga (20'), Sallai (34')
Varga (77'), Botka (90+3'), Kalmar (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pavlovic (33')
Milenkovic (76'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Hungary and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Czech Republic
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Serbia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Lithuania 1-3 Serbia
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hungary in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hungary.

Result
HungaryDrawSerbia
36.61% (0.226 0.23)29.57% (0.085000000000001 0.09)33.82% (-0.308 -0.31)
Both teams to score 43.24% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.24% (-0.29 -0.29)63.76% (0.294 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.99% (-0.205 -0.2)83.02% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.3% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)69.92% (0.012 0.01)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.369 -0.37)35.17% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.389 -0.39)71.93% (0.393 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Hungary 36.6%
    Serbia 33.82%
    Draw 29.56%
HungaryDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 12.87% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.6%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 11.71% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.56%
0-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.39% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Hungary vs Serbia

Hungary
53.3%
Draw
26.7%
Serbia
20.0%
135
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Serbia
1-2
Hungary
Szalai (10' og.)
Varga (34'), Orban (36')
Varga (67'), Szalai (89')
> Preview
Mar 24, 2022 6.30pm
International Friendly
Hungary
0-1
Serbia

Schafer (67'), Gazdag (87')
Nagy (35' og.)
> Preview
Nov 15, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Hungary
1-1
Serbia
Kalmar (39')
Siger (51')
Radonjic (17')
Maksimovic (31'), Lukic (46'), Spajic (64')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Serbia
0-1
Hungary

Pavlovic (48'), Mladenovic (70'), Lukic (81')
Konyves (20')
Gazdag (36'), Nagy (69'), Szalai (73'), Kalmar (76')
> Preview
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