FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
1 - 0
Fylde

Walker (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Gillingham and Fylde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fylde

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gillingham.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Fylde
44.95% ( 0.17)	24.73% ( -0.02)	30.32% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 56.74% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.86% (

0.03)

46.14% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

0.03)

68.44% (

-0.03)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

0.09)

20.6% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

0.14)

53.15% (

-0.13)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46% (

-0.08)

28.54% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.68% (

-0.1)

64.32% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 44.95%

Fylde 30.32%

Draw 24.73%

Gillingham	Draw	Fylde
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.95%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.32%