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FA Cup

Luton Town
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Grimsby Town

Luton
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

Adebayo (49' pen.), Clark (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Holohan (43'), Clifton (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Wigan 0-2 Luton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

Grimsby Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Swindon 5-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawGrimsby Town
52.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)23.12%24.25%
Both teams to score 57.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)43.33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)65.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53%16.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)68.01% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 52.63%
    Grimsby Town 24.25%
    Draw 23.11%
Luton TownDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-0 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 52.63%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-1 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: Luton vs Grimsby Town

Luton Town
73.5%
Draw
11.8%
Grimsby Town
14.7%
34
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2018 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-1
Luton

Davies (41'), Dembele (80')
Collins (49')
Cook (21')
Cook (34')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Luton
2-0
Grimsby Town
Berry (40'), Collins (61')
Shinnie (38')

Clarke (19'), McKeown (57')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Luton
Clements (56')
Collins (64'), Comley (97')
Vassell (77')
Vassell (36'), Hylton (63'), Senior (76')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Luton
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rea (59')
Sheehan (54'), Potts (62'), Cook (75')
Bogle (29', 82')
Vose (78'), Comley (88'), Jackson (94'), Keown (94')
Mar 17, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-1
Grimsby Town
Bower (45'), Hall (89')
Bower (42'), Nicholls (90'), Craddock (90')
Bennett (43')
Akpa Akpro (67'), Hegarty (69'), Bore (82'), Henderson (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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