Koln logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Swansea logo

FC Koln
2 - 1
Swansea

Lemperle (11', 14')
(87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cabango (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between FC Koln and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Viktoria Koln 3-3 FC Koln
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, May 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Koln in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Koln.

Result
FC KolnDrawSwansea City
53.62% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)22.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02)23.97% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.25% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.63% (-0.067 -0.07)40.37% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.25% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)62.75% (0.067 0.07)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.92% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)15.08% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.4% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)43.6% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 53.62%
    Swansea City 23.97%
    Draw 22.4%
FC KolnDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 53.62%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 23.97%

How you voted: Swansea vs FC Koln

Swansea City
41.2%
Draw
20.6%
FC Koln
38.2%
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