Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
55.22% (![]() | 25.42% (![]() | 19.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.29% (![]() | 57.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.54% (![]() | 78.46% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% (![]() | 20.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% (![]() | 53.69% (![]() |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.46% (![]() | 44.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.43% (![]() | 80.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 14.58% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.4% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.55% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |