Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.3% (![]() | 26.2% (![]() | 50.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% (![]() | 56.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% (![]() | 77.62% (![]() |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.18% (![]() | 39.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.52% (![]() | 76.48% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% (![]() | 22.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% (![]() | 56.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.25% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 12.3% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 13.36% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.96% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |