La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Mar 31, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Rodrygo (8', 73')
Tchouameni (57'), Nacho (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz de Galarreta (87')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Eder Militao during the warm up before the match on June 4, 2024

Eder Militao makes his return from a long-term knee injury in the latter stages of Real Madrid's La Liga contest with Athletic Bilbao.

Mar 31, 21:58

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
59.43% ( -1.3)	22.04% ( 0.44)	18.53% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 52.26% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.25% (

-0.52)

45.75% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.93% (

-0.5)

68.07% (

0.5)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.98% (

-0.59)

15.01% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.51% (

-1.13)

43.48% (

1.13)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

0.68)

38.51% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

0.65)

75.25% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 59.42%

Athletic Bilbao 18.53%

Draw 22.04%

Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.51% Total : 59.42%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.04%	0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

81.7%

Draw

15.0%

Athletic Bilbao

3.3%

Head to Head

Aug 12, 2023 8.30pm

Gameweek 1

Athletic Bilbao

0-2

Real Madrid

Muniain (4'), Vivian (67'), Williams (87')

Rodrygo (28'), Bellingham (36')
Alaba (76')

> Preview

Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 38

Real Madrid

1-1

Athletic Bilbao

Benzema (72' pen.)
Ceballos (55'), Carvajal (85')

Sancet (49')
Sancet (57'), Berchiche (71')

> Match Report

Jan 22, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 18

Athletic Bilbao

0-2

Real Madrid

Benzema (24'), Kroos (90')

> Preview

Feb 3, 2022 8.30pm

Quarter-Finals

Athletic Bilbao

1-0

Real Madrid

Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')

> Preview

Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm

Final

Real Madrid

0-2

Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')

Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')

> Match Report

Form Guide

Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid

Real Madrid 4-0 Celta Vigo

Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig

Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid

Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Madrid

Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves

Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona

Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico

Betis 3-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao 3-2 Girona

Build-up

Brazilian centre-back Eder Militao returns to the Real Madrid squad for Sunday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Mar 30, 18:40

Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham reacts on October 28, 2023

Real Madrid 'receive triple fitness boost ahead of Athletic Bilbao match'

Real Madrid are set to have midfield trio Eduardo Camavinga, Federico Valverde and Jude Bellingham available for Sunday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Mar 29, 17:09

Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham celebrates scoring their first goal on September 20, 2023

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Athletic Bilbao.

Mar 29, 12:13

Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham on November 26, 2023

Jude Bellingham, Federico Valverde and Eduardo Camavinga were reportedly absent from Real Madrid's main training session on Thursday.

Mar 28, 18:27

Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring their third goal and completes his hat-trick on January 14, 2024

Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Athletic Bilbao

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Mar 28, 09:15

Carlo Ancelotti: 'Eder Militao, Thibaut Courtois could return against Athletic Bilbao'

Real Madrid duo Eder Militao and Thibaut Courtois could be available for the La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao on March 31.

Mar 15, 15:57

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102	39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78	38	40	84
3	Atletico Madrid Atletico	38	22	10	6	68	30	38	76
4	Athletic Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54	29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71	51	20	70
6	Real Betis Betis	38	16	12	10	57	50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59	57	2	55
8	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4	52
9	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9	48
11	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10	46
12	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5	42
14	Alaves Alaves	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10	42
15	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11	42
16	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13	41
17	Girona Girona	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17	40
R	Las Palmas Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21	32
R	Real Valladolid Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64	16
					> La Liga Full Table

La Liga

Real Madrid2 - 0Athletic Bilbao

The Match

Team News

Preview

Predicted Lineups

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Athletic Bilbao

Data Analysis

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

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Real Madrid
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao