Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 10.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-3 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 2-1 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.