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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Las Palmas

Villarreal
3 - 1
Las Palmas

Pepe (45'), Barry (84'), Baena (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (47')
Suarez (29'), Horkas (50'), Silva (52'), Januzaj (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-0 Las Palmas

Las Palmas enjoyed their meetings with Villarreal last season, but we are finding it very difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result on Monday night. Villarreal have made a strong start to the campaign, and the Yellow Submarine should win this without any major drama. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawLas Palmas
48.82% (2.056 2.06) 24.08% (-0.219 -0.22) 27.11% (-1.839 -1.84)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)45.15% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.232 -0.23)67.5% (0.229 0.23)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.738 0.74)18.59% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (1.227 1.23)49.87% (-1.229 -1.23)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-1.462 -1.46)30.32% (1.46 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (-1.778 -1.78)66.5% (1.777 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 48.82%
    Las Palmas 27.11%
    Draw 24.07%
VillarrealDrawLas Palmas
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.158 0.16)
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.315 0.32)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.443 0.44)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.211 0.21)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.347 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.139 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.186 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.82%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 27.11%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Las Palmas

Villarreal
83.7%
Draw
11.6%
Las Palmas
4.7%
172
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 20
Las Palmas
3-0
Villarreal
Rodriguez (8', 63'), Herzog (51')
Suarez (15'), Munoz (16'), Herzog (34'), Cardona (43')

Altimira (1'), Baena (19'), Bailly (39')
Oct 8, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
1-2
Las Palmas
Moreno (90+2')
Pino (45+1'), Parejo (68'), Capoue (90+10'), Akhomach (90+6')
Coco (45+2'), Cardona (51' pen.)
Park (68'), Rodriguez (72'), Kaba (90+5'), Cardona (90+4')
Mar 11, 2018 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-2
Villarreal

Navarro (61')
Galvez (90')
Bacca (67'), Sansone (90' pen.)
Costa (17')
Oct 22, 2017 11am
Villarreal
4-0
Las Palmas
Bakambu (48'), Gaspar (65'), Navarro (67' og.), Sansone (90')
Ruiz (30')

Lemos (24'), Gomez (40'), Navarro (73'), Viera (75'), Macedo (86')
Mar 17, 2017 7.45pm
Las Palmas
1-0
Villarreal
Boateng (10')
Viera (70'), Lemos (74')

Musacchio (23'), Costa (76')
Ruiz (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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