Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
48.82% (![]() | 24.08% (![]() | 27.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.84% (![]() | 45.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.5% (![]() | 67.5% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% (![]() | 18.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% (![]() | 49.87% (![]() |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% (![]() | 30.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.5% (![]() | 66.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
2-1 @ 9.52% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 11.31% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 6.75% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |