St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 16
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
Derry City

St Patrick's
0 - 1
Derry


Redmond (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McMullan (76')
Hoban (22'), Coll (88')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 2-2 St Patrick's
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 1-0 Bohemians
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
27.66% (0.739 0.74)28.84% (-0.023 -0.02)43.49% (-0.714 -0.71)
Both teams to score 43.14% (0.487 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.09% (0.388 0.39)62.91% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6% (0.279 0.28)82.4% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.58% (0.85100000000001 0.85)39.42% (-0.848 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (0.783 0.78)76.11% (-0.78 -0.78)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (-0.197 -0.2)28.78% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (-0.248 -0.25)64.63% (0.251 0.25)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 27.66%
    Derry City 43.49%
    Draw 28.83%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 27.66%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.83%
0-1 @ 14.13% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 43.49%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Derry

St Patrick's Athletic
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Derry City
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Derry
3-1
St Patrick's
Mullen (16', 56'), Hoban (51')
Hoban (13'), McJannett (20'), O'Reilly (72')
Keeley (54')
Lennon (38'), McLaughlin (74'), Keeley (82')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Derry
2-1
St Patrick's
Hoban (65'), Mullen (90+2')
Hoban (31')
Keating (47')
Breslin (66'), Pitaluga (80'), Kavanagh (85')
Nov 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Derry
3-0
St Patrick's
Kavanagh (11'), Patching (26'), McEneff (86')
Connolly (30'), Dummigan (73')

McGrath (85')
Jun 5, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
St Patrick's
4-1
Derry
McGrath (36'), Doyle (62'), Forrester (67'), Doyle (79')
Murphy (61')
Kavanagh (65')
McEleney (41'), Graydon (83')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Derry
2-0
St Patrick's
Doherty (71' pen.), Whelan (79')
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