League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hughes (73')

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 2-3 Bolton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Burton Albion
70.47% ( 0.08)	17.84% ( -0.03)	11.69% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.02% (

-0.02)

40.98% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.63% (

-0.02)

63.37% (

0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.58% (

0.02)

10.42% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.01% (

0.04)

33.98% (

-0.04)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.02% (

-0.11)

44.98% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.08% (

-0.09)

80.92% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 70.46%

Burton Albion 11.69%

Draw 17.84%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 4.2% Total : 70.46%	1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 17.84%	0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 11.69%