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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Gillingham |
49.88% | 25.32% | 24.8% |
Both teams to score 50.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.88% | 52.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.16% | 73.84% |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% | 20.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% | 53.63% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% | 35.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.31% | 72.69% |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 9.2% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.88% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.8% |