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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Brisbane Road
Crawley Town

Leyton Orient
3 - 0
Crawley

Kelman (33'), Agyei (50'), Beckles (55')
O'Neill (76'), Pratley (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wollacott (25'), Roles (45+1'), Kelley (74'), Camara (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCrawley Town
56.1% (-0.132 -0.13)22.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.98% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.45% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (0.14 0.14)46.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (0.132 0.13)68.46% (-0.137 -0.14)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.202 0.2)36.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (0.207 0.21)72.94% (-0.211 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 56.09%
    Crawley Town 20.98%
    Draw 22.92%
Leyton OrientDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 56.09%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.98%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crawley
0-2
Leyton Orient

Tunnicliffe (18'), Lynch (21'), Hutchinson (70'), Tilley (90'), Nadesan (90+3')
Archibald (8'), Drinan (90+5')
Mitchell (86')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Leyton Orient
1-2
Crawley
Morris (62' og.)
Ogie (13'), Smith (32'), Clay (73'), Happe (82'), Wood (87'), Pratley (90+1')
Pratley (90+6')
Francomb (32'), Appiah (66')
Appiah (28'), Ferry (37'), Davies (51')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Crawley
0-4
Leyton Orient
Sotiriou (7', 59'), Happe (30'), Kemp (77')
OSZAR »