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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
3 - 1
Exeter

Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Kyprianou (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Harper (46')
Kite (5'), Caldwell (6'), Harper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Peterborough
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Exeter City

 With so much left to play for, Peterborough will need no further incentive to grab this game by the scruff of the neck. We are backing the hosts to dominate proceedings and get the job done in relatively routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
54.64% (1.03 1.03) 23.17% (-0.224 -0.22) 22.19% (-0.812 -0.81)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (0.07 0.07)45.77% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (0.065999999999999 0.07)68.09% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.392 0.39)16.64% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (0.703 0.7)46.48% (-0.709 -0.71)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.708 -0.71)34.78% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.753 -0.75)71.51% (0.747 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 54.63%
    Exeter City 22.19%
    Draw 23.17%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.215 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.19%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dieng (55')
Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Exeter
Assombalonga (72'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Assombalonga (37'), Ephraim (68')

Doherty (23')
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
3-0
Exeter
Boyd (10', 74'), Mackail-Smith (87')
Sep 18, 2010 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Peterborough
Nardiello (54'), Cureton (71')
Jones (46')
Archibald-Henville (29' og.)
Mackail-Smith (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833
> League One Full Table


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