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League One

Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 38
May 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Bristol Rovers

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Leahy (3'), Street (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coburn (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.06% (-1.495 -1.5)25% (0.709 0.71)31.94% (0.792 0.79)
Both teams to score 56.64% (-2.078 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (-2.88 -2.88)46.63% (2.886 2.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (-2.759 -2.76)68.9% (2.764 2.76)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-1.866 -1.87)21.66% (1.871 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-2.938 -2.94)54.8% (2.944 2.94)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)27.71% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-1.18 -1.18)63.27% (1.186 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 43.06%
    Bristol Rovers 31.94%
    Draw 25%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.309 -0.31)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.247 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.47 0.47)
0-0 @ 6% (0.699 0.7)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.719 0.72)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.345 0.35)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.096 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers

Shrewsbury Town
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Bristol Rovers
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Shrewsbury
Loft (68')
Marquis (57')
Bowman (80')
Bowman (65')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Shrewsbury
Leahy (45'), Hanlan (60')
Udoh (90+2')
Ebanks-Landell (70')
Oct 20, 2020 6pm
gameweek 7
Shrewsbury
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Walker (37')
Hanlan (15')
Grant (57'), Harries (66')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Shrewsbury

Menayese (29'), Kilgour (84')
Udoh (69')
Pierre (43'), Williams (74'), Cummings (87'), Lang (90'), Edwards (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
gameweek 19
Shrewsbury
3-4
Bristol Rovers
Laurent (37', 67'), Norburn (62')
Thompson (20'), Laurent (20'), Norburn (22')
Craig (11'), Clarke (28'), Sercombe (47'), Ogogo (87')
Jaakkola (20'), Adeboyejo (21'), Clarke (36')
OSZAR »