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League One

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League One | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The DW Stadium
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Wigan
1 - 0
Bolton

Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Cheltenham
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
27.66% (2.772 2.77)25.07% (0.192 0.19)47.27% (-2.966 -2.97)
Both teams to score 53.9% (1.805 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (1.224 1.22)49.08% (-1.226 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (1.096 1.1)71.16% (-1.098 -1.1)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (2.9 2.9)31.95% (-2.902 -2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (3.182 3.18)68.41% (-3.183 -3.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)20.79% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (-1.204 -1.2)53.45% (1.202 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 27.66%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.26%
    Draw 25.07%
Wigan AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.555 0.56)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.392 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.267 0.27)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.281 0.28)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.66%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.32 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.79 -0.79)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.546 -0.55)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.26%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bolton

Wigan Athletic
37.2%
Draw
16.3%
Bolton Wanderers
46.5%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Dadi Bodvarsson (83')
Santos (66')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
> Preview
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Wigan
0-0
Bolton
 Wigan win 5-4 on penalties
Smith (38'), Darikwa (41'), McClean (43'), Power (44'), Pearce (60')
Kachunga (45+1'), Afolayan (75'), Lee (86')
> Match Report
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Wigan
5-2
Bolton
Garner (4'), Massey (51'), Powell (55'), Jacobs (69'), Clarke (81')
O'Neil (62'), Ameobi (80')
Lowe (3')
> Match Report
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