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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Carlisle United

Doncaster
2 - 1
Carlisle

Maxwell (5'), Hurst (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dennis (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 4-3 Rochdale
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
32.07%26.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)40.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.27% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.16%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.17%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (0.0040000000000049 0)61.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 32.07%
    Carlisle United 40.95%
    Draw 26.98%
Doncaster RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Carlisle

Doncaster Rovers
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
3-0
Doncaster
Guy (44'), Stretton (53', 66')

Clayton (26')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Doncaster
Mellish (78')
Kayode (43')
Whiteman (32', 40')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-1
Doncaster
Adams (34'), Mason (85' og.)
Joyce (18'), Gillesphey (55')
Rowe (90')
Blair (56'), Lawlor (82')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Doncaster
2-2
Carlisle
Rowe (18'), Marquis (44')
Marquis (93')
Miller (15'), Ibehre (79')
Grainger (49')
Apr 9, 2013 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-2
Carlisle

Furman (37'), Spurr (72'), Griffin (78')
Noble (35', 86')
Noble (45')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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