League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
0 - 2
Newport

Ogie (81')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bogle (20' pen., 27' pen.)
Drysdale (3'), Baker (29'), Evans (45+5')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Newport County
43.61% ( 0.11)	25.45% ( 0.02)	30.94% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.02% (

-0.14)

48.98% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93% (

-0.13)

71.06% (

0.12)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

-0.01)

22.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08% (

-0.01)

55.91% (

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46% (

-0.17)

29.54% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.44% (

-0.2)

65.55% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 43.61%

Newport County 30.94%

Draw 25.45%

Gillingham	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.61%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.94%