Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Estadio Azteca
St Louis City

America
4 - 2
St Louis City

Rodriguez (15', 15', 86' pen., 86' pen.), Valdes (79', 79'), Aguirre (90+8', 90+8')
Jardine (0'), Valdes (45+3'), Valdes (45+3'), Malagon (90+4'), Malagon (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vassilev (50', 50'), Lowen (53' pen., 53' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Leagues Cup clash between Club America and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 2-1 Atlas
Saturday, August 10 at 3am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Portland
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 73.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawSt Louis City
73.39% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.79% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.8% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)33.62% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.56% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)55.43% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.12% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)7.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.1% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)27.89% (0.035 0.04)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.4% (-0.061 -0.06)41.59% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.92% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)78.08% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Club America 73.38%
    St Louis City 10.79%
    Draw 15.81%
Club AmericaDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.86% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.89%
5-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
6-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 73.38%
1-1 @ 7.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.81%
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 10.79%

rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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