Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 4, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Tigres

Necaxa
0 - 1
Tigres

FT(HT: 0-2)
Gorriaran (41', 42')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Tigres

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawTigres
23.28% (-0.195 -0.2)25.58% (0.169 0.17)51.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-0.699 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.58% (-0.808 -0.81)54.41% (0.81 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (-0.679 -0.68)75.79% (0.682 0.68)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (-0.635 -0.63)38.57% (0.638 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (-0.611 -0.61)75.32% (0.614 0.61)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)21.31% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)54.25% (0.494 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 23.28%
    Tigres 51.13%
    Draw 25.58%
NecaxaDrawTigres
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.28%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.256 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 12.7% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 9.82% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 51.13%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 1am
Tigres
2-0
Necaxa
Gignac (60', 73')
Aquino (20')
Aug 28, 2022 1.05am
Tigres
0-0
Necaxa

Angulo (79')

Araos (22'), Esquivel (71'), Malagon (74')
Apr 20, 2022 1am
Necaxa
2-0
Tigres
Aguirre (7'), Escoboza (25')
Madrigal (29'), Gimenez (46'), Lopez (76'), Formiliano (81'), Malagon (90+2'), Malagon (90+3')
Oct 4, 2021 1am
Tigres
0-0
Necaxa

Fulgencio (56'), Vigon (60'), Quinones (67')

Medina (69'), Zendejas (76'), Malagon (90+5')
Jan 29, 2021 3am
Tigres
1-1
Necaxa
Salcedo (45')
Pizarro (43'), Duenas (62'), Quinones (77')
Barragan (34')
Cabrera (26'), Gonzalez (63'), Martin Sandoval (74')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!
OSZAR »