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AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Montpellier

Auxerre
0 - 2
Montpellier

FT(HT: 0-0)
Mavididi (62', 80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Niort 0-4 Auxerre
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AuxerreDrawMontpellier HSC
39.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)26.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)33.1% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.52% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (0.032000000000004 0.03)54.68% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (0.026 0.03)76.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.010999999999996 0.01)26.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)62.13% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)30.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.25% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 39.91%
    Montpellier HSC 33.1%
    Draw 26.99%
AuxerreDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.1%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Montpellier

Auxerre
28.3%
Draw
48.3%
Montpellier HSC
23.3%
60
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Montpellier
1-2
Auxerre
Sakho (39')
Sakho (73')
Fayad (46'), Savanier (90+3')
Da Costa (70'), Autret (75' pen.)
da Costa (5'), Joly (43')
Niang (51'), da Costa (88')
May 20, 2012 3pm
Aug 6, 2011 3pm
OSZAR »