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Ligue 1

Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lyon

Brest
1 - 0
Lyon

Mounie (87')
Lees-Melou (31'), Camara (64'), Brassier (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nuamah (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Brest
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLyon
29.66% (0.478 0.48)26.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)44% (-0.478 -0.48)
Both teams to score 51.23% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.84% (0.214 0.21)53.16% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27% (0.181 0.18)74.73% (-0.179 -0.18)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (0.46600000000001 0.47)32.57% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (0.518 0.52)69.11% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)24.02% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (-0.199 -0.2)58.28% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Brest 29.66%
    Lyon 44%
    Draw 26.33%
BrestDrawLyon
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.66%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 11.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44%

How you voted: Brest vs Lyon

Brest
60.8%
Draw
25.5%
Lyon
13.7%
51
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
0-0
Brest
> Preview
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Brest
2-4
Lyon
Pereira Lage (29'), Mounie (72')
Caqueret (21'), Cherki (32'), Lacazette (35' pen.), Tete (49')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')
Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 1
Lyon
1-1
Brest
Slimani (62')
Slimani (90+2')
Cardona (43')
Magnetti (67')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
2-3
Lyon
Chardonnet (53'), Cardona (74')
Belkebla (40'), Herelle (90+6')
Paqueta (9'), Aouar (29'), Depay (44' pen.)
De Sciglio (56'), Paqueta (90+6')
> Preview
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