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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 8, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Montpellier

Lens
2 - 0
Montpellier

Labeau (39'), Lecomte (90+1' og.)
Sotoca (79'), Samba (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (43'), Sagnan (71'), Tchato (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 0-2 Lens
Friday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Lille
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
58.9% (-0.743 -0.74)22.07% (0.178 0.18)19.03% (0.567 0.57)
Both teams to score 53.06% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (0.086999999999996 0.09)45.13% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (0.084000000000003 0.08)67.48% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)14.98% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.59% (-0.398 -0.4)43.41% (0.403 0.4)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41% (0.679 0.68)37.59% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (0.655 0.66)74.37% (-0.651 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Lens 58.88%
    Montpellier HSC 19.03%
    Draw 22.07%
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 58.88%
1-1 @ 10.45% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 19.03%

How you voted: Lens vs Montpellier

Lens
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Montpellier HSC
0.0%
30
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lens
2-2
Montpellier
Wahi (4'), Machado (45+3')
Maamma (58'), Mincarelli (74')
Khazri (90+5')
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-0
Lens
Delaye (84'), Ferri (90+3')
Danso (12'), Frankowski (15'), Gradit (90+3')
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Montpellier
1-1
Lens
Maouassa (59')
Fulgini (4')
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
1-0
Montpellier
Said (67')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Lens
2-0
Montpellier
Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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