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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Saint-Etienne

Marseille
5 - 1
St Etienne

Gouiri (27', 60'), Greenwood (50' pen.), Murillo (58'), Rabiot (77')
Cornelius (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stassin (79')
Stassin (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 0-2 Marseille
Sunday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Rennes
Saturday, February 8 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawSaint-Etienne
73.65% (-0.322 -0.32)15.91% (0.18 0.18)10.44% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.01% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.78% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)35.22% (0.467 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.76% (-0.524 -0.52)57.24% (0.522 0.52)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)8.21% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.27% (-0.456 -0.46)28.73% (0.453 0.45)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.66% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)43.34% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.42% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)79.58% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 73.64%
    Saint-Etienne 10.44%
    Draw 15.91%
MarseilleDrawSaint-Etienne
2-0 @ 11.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.79% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.84% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.9% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.42% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 73.64%
1-1 @ 7.44% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.01 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.56% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.91%
1-2 @ 3.11% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.24% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 10.44%

How you voted: Marseille vs St Etienne

Marseille
96.8%
Draw
3.2%
Saint-Etienne
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 1.45pm
Round of 64
St Etienne
0-4
Marseille

Cafaro (24'), Mouton (42'), Ekwah (59'), Abdelhamid (74'), Miladinovic (90')
Sissoko (21')
Greenwood (22'), Rabiot (34'), Henrique (69'), Hojbjerg (81')
Rowe (74')
> Preview
Dec 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
St Etienne
0-2
Marseille

Sissoko (90+9')
Rabiot (17'), Greenwood (65')
Rongier (47')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
St Etienne
2-4
Marseille
Bouanga (9'), Gourna-Douath (86')
Mangala (45+1'), Thioub (77')
Payet (45+1' pen.), Kolodziejczak (60' og.), Dieng (68' pen.), Harit (73')
Targhalline (88')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
3-1
St Etienne
Guendouzi (23'), Gerson (51'), Under (68')
Gueye (87')
Kolodziejczak (32')
Khazri (42'), Macon (49'), Camara (61')
> Preview
May 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 36
St Etienne
1-0
Marseille
Nordin (43')
Kolodziejczak (76')

Thauvin (63'), Balerdi (67'), Gonzalez (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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