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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal Impact

Atlanta
1 - 2
Montreal

Rios (45+3', 45+3')
Lennon (55'), Lennon (55')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Martinez (43', 43', 76', 76')
Duke (39'), Duke (39'), Saliba (82'), Saliba (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
63.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.47%17.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 63.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.07% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.73% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)9.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)30.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13%65.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 63.69%
    CF Montreal 17.84%
    Draw 18.48%
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.57%
4-1 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.74%
5-1 @ 2.17%
5-0 @ 1.8%
5-2 @ 1.32%
4-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 63.69%
1-1 @ 7.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.71%
0-0 @ 2.7%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.48%
1-2 @ 4.75%
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-2 @ 1.98%
1-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 17.84%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Montreal

Atlanta United
51.6%
Draw
22.6%
CF Montreal
25.8%
31
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
4-1
Montreal
Silva (30'), Almada (33'), Giakoumakis (46'), Mosquera (89')
Robinson (65'), Mosquera (90+1')
Hamdy (40')
Waterman (67'), Choiniere (79')
Waterman (87')
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
0-1
Atlanta

Camacho (53'), Kwizera (84'), Campbell (87')
Lennon (54')
Almada (78'), Guzan (90+10')
Apr 30, 2022 9pm
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Miller (4'), Torres (81')
Camacho (10'), Wanyama (31'), Kone (58')
Moreno (51')
Moreno (51'), Franco (54'), Ibarra (76')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
3-3
Montreal
Martinez (6'), Almada (85'), Lennon (90+2')
Gutman (4'), Sosa (90+4')
Dwyer (67')
Mihailovic (28'), Kone (37'), Quioto (42' pen.)
Kone (10'), Miller (31'), Quioto (31'), Lappalainen (72'), Miljevic (82'), Camacho (90+1'), Johnston (90+6')
OSZAR »