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Major League Soccer

Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Nashville

Atlanta
4 - 0
Nashville

Silva (26', 26'), Almada (46', 46'), Robinson (57', 57'), Lobzhanidze (87', 87')
Muyumba (34'), Muyumba (34'), Pineda (35'), Pineda (35'), Wolff (66'), Wolff (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 0-2 Atlanta
Monday, August 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Nashville SC

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 16 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNashville SC
48.65% (0.134 0.13)24.84% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)26.51% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.7% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (0.1 0.1)48.91% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (0.091999999999999 0.09)71% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (0.096999999999994 0.1)20.14% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.59% (0.15600000000001 0.16)52.41% (-0.158 -0.16)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)32.76% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)69.32% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 48.65%
    Nashville SC 26.51%
    Draw 24.84%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.65%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.51%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Nashville

Atlanta United
12.5%
Draw
50.0%
Nashville SC
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
Nashville
3-1
Atlanta
Picault (36'), Bunbury (56'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Almada (72' pen.)
> Preview
May 22, 2022 12.30am
Nashville
2-2
Atlanta
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Atlanta
0-2
Nashville

Barco (37'), Sejdic (61')
Rios (45+2'), Leal (90+5')
Lovitz (26'), Anunga (75'), Leal (90+6')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 15
Nashville
2-2
Atlanta
Anibaba (14'), Williams (49' pen.)
Leal (28'), Haakenson (82'), McCarty (89')
Walkes (5'), Conway (59')
Wolff (39'), Sosa (44'), Torres (47'), Moreno (67')
Mulraney (74')
> Preview
May 29, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 9
Atlanta
2-2
Nashville
Moreno (6'), Lopez (52')
Moreno (41')
Williams (80', 83')
McCarty (57'), Lovitz (60'), Haakenson (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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