Major League Soccer

Mar 19, 2022 at 10pm UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
3 - 1
Kansas

Przybylko (30', 82'), Shaqiri (50' pen.)
Herbers (37'), Shaqiri (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Espinoza (56')
Fontas (35'), Zusi (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	DC United	13	-7	14
9	Sporting Kansas City	15	-9	13
10	Chicago Fire	14	-7	11

Sporting Kansas City

Last Six:

Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	DC United	13	-7	14
9	Sporting Kansas City	15	-9	13
10	Chicago Fire	14	-7	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
46.42%	25.69%	27.89%

Both teams to score 52.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52%

51.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72%

73.28%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84%

22.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45%

55.55%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97%

33.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38%

69.62%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 46.41%

Sporting Kansas City 27.89%

Draw 25.68%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.41%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.89%