Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
47.74% (![]() | 21.5% (![]() | 30.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.64% (![]() | 30.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.38% (![]() | 51.63% (![]() |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.58% (![]() | 13.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.63% (![]() | 40.37% (![]() |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% (![]() | 20.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.08% (![]() | 52.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
2-1 @ 8.79% (![]() 3-1 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 8.75% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.94% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 25 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
5 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 20 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 17 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 16 |
12 | DC United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
13 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 21 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Dallas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
11 | St Louis City | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 3 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |