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Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
FC Cincinnati

Montreal
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Opoku (53', 53')
Wanyama (34'), Wanyama (34'), Sirois (90+5'), Offor (90+2'), Sirois (90+5'), Offor (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Acosta (90+7' pen., 90+7' pen.)
Miazga (90'), Arias (90+2'), Miazga (90'), Arias (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
46.89% (0.204 0.2)25.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)27.97% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.89% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (0.083999999999996 0.08)49.19% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (0.077000000000002 0.08)71.26% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.125 0.13)21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.193 0.19)53.78% (-0.191 -0.19)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)31.77% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)68.2% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 46.88%
    FC Cincinnati 27.97%
    Draw 25.14%
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.88%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: Montreal vs Cincinnati

CF Montreal
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
FC Cincinnati
37.5%
8
Head to Head
May 18, 2023 12.30am
May 29, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-3
Cincinnati
Waterman (21'), Quioto (45+4', 59' pen.), Choiniere (46')
Waterman (53'), Camacho (86'), Hamdy (90')
Moreno (12', 63'), Barreal (52')
Acosta (83'), Moreno (89')
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Cincinnati
3-4
Montreal
Vazquez (12'), Johnston (20' og.), Acosta (61' pen.)
Gaddis (24'), Powell (28'), Blackett (90+1'), Acosta (90+4')
Mihailovic (17', 41'), Kamara (45+1'), Torres (67')
Waterman (70'), Breza (88'), Wanyama (90+4')
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 27
Cincinnati
0-0
Montreal
Cruz (36'), Matarrita (62'), Acosta (89'), Brenner (90+4')
Maciel (22'), Choiniere (26'), Camacho (68'), Camacho (74')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 17
Montreal
5-4
Cincinnati
Hamdi Hussein Hafez (74')
Brenner (46')
OSZAR »