Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Williams (45+3' pen., 70' pen., 90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 3-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Chicago Fire
53.91% ( 0)	23.91% ( -0)	22.18%

Both teams to score 52% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.09% (

0.01)

48.9% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29% (

0.01)

70.99% (

-0)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.94% (

0.01)

18.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.04% (

0.01)

48.96% (

-0)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46% (

36.53% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.68% (

73.32%

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 53.91%

Chicago Fire 22.18%

Draw 23.9%

Nashville SC	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.66% 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.91%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.18%