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Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia Union

NY City
1 - 3
Philadelphia

Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union

The Union appear to be hitting their stride, while New York are trying to get their groove back, and although the home side have more individual quality to boast, continuity can often be a determining factor, something the Union have in abundance.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
51.83% (-0.137 -0.14) 24.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 23.84% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)48.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)71.02% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)18.86% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67% (-0.108 -0.11)50.32% (0.102 0.1)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)35.01% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)71.75% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.82%
    Philadelphia Union 23.84%
    Draw 24.32%
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.82%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
NY City
1-1
Philadelphia
Castellanos (53')
Medina (82')
Zelalem (21')
Przybylko (27')
Glesnes (25'), Wagner (31'), Andres Martinez (50'), Bedoya (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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