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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 6.25pm UK
Subaru Park
Nashville

Philadelphia
1 - 3
Nashville

Lukic (33')
Wagner (88'), Damiani (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Surridge (15'), Qasem (44'), Williams (82' pen.)
Yazbek (45+2'), Tagseth (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Portland
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
48.86% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)24.11% (0.053000000000001 0.05)27.03% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.55% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (-0.261 -0.26)45.35% (0.257 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-0.251 -0.25)67.69% (0.245 0.25)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (-0.119 -0.12)18.65% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (-0.198 -0.2)49.97% (0.193 0.19)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.151 -0.15)30.48% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.176 -0.18)66.69% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 48.86%
    Nashville SC 27.03%
    Draw 24.1%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Nashville

Philadelphia Union
100%
Draw
0.0%
Nashville SC
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Nashville
Gazdag (10', 39', 89')
Lowe (2'), Uhre (20'), Elliott (61')

Muyl (60'), Bauer (67'), Godoy (76')
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
0-2
Philadelphia

Lovitz (39'), Leal (43'), Bunbury (71')
Lovitz (81'), Moore (90+5')
Gazdag (40' pen., 84')
Curtin (40'), Wagner (44'), Gazdag (84')
Carranza (90+5')
May 1, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Nashville
1-1
Philadelphia
Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')
OSZAR »