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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Chicago Fire

Portland
1 - 2
Chicago Fire

Boli (26', 26')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Herbers (8', 8'), Kamara (83', 83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawChicago Fire
57.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)22.49% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)19.6% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.027999999999999 0.03)46.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.027999999999999 0.03)68.41% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02)15.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)37.54% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.32% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 57.89%
    Chicago Fire 19.6%
    Draw 22.49%
Portland TimbersDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 57.89%
1-1 @ 10.67%
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 19.6%

How you voted: Portland vs Chicago Fire

Portland Timbers
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Chicago Fire
10.0%
10
Head to Head
May 28, 2020 1am
Gameweek 19
Chicago Fire
P-P
Portland
Aug 15, 2019 4am
Gameweek 31
Portland
3-2
Chicago Fire
Moreira (11'), Fernandez (21', 88')
Loria (27'), Ebobisse (81')
Nikolic (74'), Sapong (92')
Calvo (79')
Katai (30')
Mar 31, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 5
Chicago Fire
2-2
Portland
Nikolic (50'), Vincent (84')
Katai (12')
Valeri (6'), Blanco (55')
Valeri (52')
Jul 6, 2017 3.30am
Portland
2-2
Chicago Fire
Adi (24' pen.), Blanco (70')
Blanco (73')
Alvarez (34'), Vincent (61')
Lampson (65')
May 29, 2016 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-1
Portland
Accam (20')
Kappelhof (38'), Ramos (77')
Valeri (18')
Ridgewell (69'), Klute (92')
OSZAR »