Major League Soccer

Aug 12, 2020 at 1.30am UK

ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17

Portland
2 - 1
Orlando City

Mabiala (27'), Zuparic (66')
Mabiala (44'), Chara (70'), Villafana (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pereyra (39')
Carlos (47'), Moutinho (63'), Nani (73'), Ruan (85')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Orlando City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Orlando City
49.41%	23.9%	26.69%

Both teams to score 56.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31%

44.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95%

67.05%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82%

18.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.83%

49.17%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61%

30.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.41%

66.59%

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 49.41%

Orlando City 26.69%

Draw 23.89%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.41%	1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.89%	1-2 @ 6.68% 0-1 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.04% Total : 26.69%