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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
FC Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls
3 - 1
Cincinnati

Morgan (7', 7', 59', 59'), Duncan (52', 52')
Nealis (79'), Nealis (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baird (67', 67')
Yedlin (88'), Yedlin (88'), Murphy (90'), Murphy (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Montreal
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
46.15% (-0.958 -0.96)24.88% (0.306 0.31)28.97% (0.653 0.65)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.557 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (-0.937 -0.94)47.49% (0.938 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (-0.872 -0.87)69.7% (0.874 0.87)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (-0.788 -0.79)20.63% (0.788 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.81% (-1.258 -1.26)53.19% (1.261 1.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)30.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)66.31% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 46.15%
    FC Cincinnati 28.97%
    Draw 24.88%
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.286 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.17 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.97%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati

New York Red Bulls
62.1%
Draw
27.6%
FC Cincinnati
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Kubo (3')
Nwobodo (32'), Miazga (45+4'), Orellano (74')
Amaya (19'), Vanzeir (60')
Amaya (70'), Ngoma (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
(Aggregate 1-1 | NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties)
Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
> Preview
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