Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 2
Kansas

Shelton (83' og., 83' og.)
Kikanovic (37'), Kikanovic (37'), Skahan (87'), Skahan (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thommy (48', 48'), Pulido (57', 57')
Leibold (38'), Leibold (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-0 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 3-2 Dallas
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
50.3% ( -0)	23.5%	26.2% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.86% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.71% (

0.01)

43.29% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.32% (

0.01)

65.68% (

-0.01)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69%

17.31% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.34% (

47.66%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

0.01)

30.03% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85% (

0.01)

66.15% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 50.3%

Sporting Kansas City 26.2%

Draw 23.49%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.89% Total : 50.3%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.49%	1-2 @ 6.6% 0-1 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.12% Total : 26.2%